Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 6.784805 7.498323 8.291231 9.244802 10.370066 11.667919 13.296237
2025-01-12 5.486782 6.382573 7.459829 8.876277 10.730156 13.135953 16.606383
2025-01-19 4.781482 5.741915 6.956308 8.650746 11.035601 14.415210 19.871393
2025-01-26 4.359289 5.366599 6.691980 8.633602 11.541300 16.000524 24.020740
2025-02-02 4.235684 5.350137 6.879053 9.240170 13.031875 19.416877 32.594432
2025-02-09 4.063271 5.238964 6.907512 9.600408 14.195248 22.623673 42.561422
2025-02-16 3.831942 5.016773 6.741689 9.621625 14.778066 24.933556 52.083463
2025-02-23 3.689761 4.907079 6.726785 9.876222 15.819469 28.512756 67.981789
2025-03-02 3.435275 4.608469 6.388251 9.532011 15.648330 29.365109 76.404569
2025-03-09 3.236483 4.379160 6.138200 9.309626 15.675411 30.705101 88.213356
2025-03-16 3.084594 4.210729 5.970839 9.213265 15.942806 32.760088 106.020176
2025-03-23 2.993485 4.129773 5.938487 9.359126 16.760570 36.667476 140.880979
2025-03-30 2.803473 3.893266 5.648008 9.022543 16.524505 37.724404 164.833976
2025-04-06 2.625120 3.667589 5.363862 8.676756 16.230981 38.620945 193.316883
2025-04-13 2.485440 3.495221 5.157259 8.459029 16.204752 40.458708 240.936225
2025-04-20 2.390364 3.389114 5.056860 8.442459 16.682389 44.460329 346.565194
2025-04-27 2.390236 3.438597 5.235034 9.028942 18.924662 57.607140 929.190080
2025-05-04 2.354682 3.425512 5.297598 9.376952 20.639365 70.857158 3330.068866
2025-05-11 2.280333 3.341096 5.219622 9.397443 21.379615 80.080689 16666.760088
2025-05-18 2.237805 3.308938 5.237637 9.643257 22.942161 97.510959 NaN
2025-05-25 2.133540 3.162863 5.024967 9.310894 22.441576 99.157426 NaN
2025-06-01 2.049121 3.048165 4.866876 9.096057 22.317218 104.146445 NaN
2025-06-08 1.983267 2.963445 4.762530 9.002942 22.621520 113.937800 NaN